Malaria burden and control at national, regional and global scales. (360G-Wellcome-079080_Z_06_Z)

The work in this application will provide the most complete understanding of the spatial distributions of malaria risk at national, continental and global scales since the 1960's. The approach will allow for a transparent, evidence-driven estimation of the public health burden posed by the malaria parasite and its diversity in space and time. The epidemiological platform will provide the means to articulate needs and model the impact of changing demographics, climate, poverty and intervention between 2005 and 2030. Effective control, however, will be predicated on a number of operational constraints which must be defined and understood to ensure that patients and communities most in need have access to interventions that work. How well interventions are delivered at national scales is the subject of a complementary programme of research: providing the link between the theoretical impacts of disease control and the likely operational efficiency of interventions when delivered as part of national policies in Africa.